Take it to the Bank: Garrett Kerman’s UFC Fight Night Lewis vs Browne Bets to Make

Written By Garrett Kerman

We are back for another Take It To The Bank segment here at The MMA Takeover. We are on our fourth straight fight week, this has been on jam packed month of fights. This weekend’s UFC event is taking place in Halifax, Canada with Derrick “The Black Beast” Lewis taking on Travis “Hapa” Browne headlining the main card. We have yet another action packed night of fights that I can’t wait to watch, but enough talk let’s get right down to the plays of the night.

Confident Plays

These are my most confident plays on the night. I am doing things a little differently this go around. Even if there is a ton of juice (In gambling terms a very steep moneyline) I will be posting that as a play if I feel very confident in it, just wager within your means.

Sara McMann -600 This is my lock of the night, the fighter that I can’t see losing on the card. Sara McMann is light years better than her opponent Gina Mazany, in every way possible in the sport of MMA. McMann can beat Mazany wherever the fight takes places whether it is on the feet or on the mat. McMann should have her way with Mazany, preferably pushing the pace, grappling with her and eventually taking her down and controlling her on the mat. This is Mazany’s UFC debut and only the 5th fight of her career in which she is taking on 2 weeks short notice to fight a veteran who has been training for months for this fight. I believe this should be an easy one for McMann and she should have absolutely no trouble coming out of this with her hand raised.

Aiemann Zahabi -230

There has been a lot of talk about Aiemann Zahabi who trains out of Tristar Gym in Montreal, Quebec, Canada coached by respected coach and his brother Firas Zahabi. Zahabi has all of the tools to be successful in the UFC and I am excited to get to finally see him on the big stage. He is a 6-0 bantamweight who has finished each and every one of his opponents (3 knockouts/3 submissions). Zahabi’s strength is his grappling but that doesn’t mean he doesn’t have one punch knockout power. Zahabi’s opponent Reginaldo Vieira is coming off of a loss in only his second fight in the UFC by submission. Vieira has a respectable record at 13-4 but in all 4 of his losses he was finished by his opponent (3 submissions/1 knockout).  Those statistics on top of his horrible takedown defense (25% of takedowns avoided) helps me feel that much more confident in Zahabi. I see Zahabi taking it to Vieira and getting his first victory in the UFC.

Gavin Tucker -160

Gavin Tucker is yet another newcomer making his UFC debut on Sunday night. Tucker is a on a tear in his MMA career with a 9-0 record finishing his last 8 opponents (4 submissions/4 knockouts).  Tucker is fast and explosive on his feet and has great grappling and Jui-Jitsu to go with it. Gavin Tucker is taking on Sam Sicilia who is coming off two straight losses (1 submission/1 knockout). Sicilia is flat footed, slow and a wild striker and which is a bad combination facing a fighter with the speed that Tucker possesses. Sicilia has a lot of power in his punches but his striking has a lot of holes in it, those holes will be picked about by the technical and quick striking of Tucker. I am taking Tucker here to get the job done and make a statement in his debut preferably inside distance.

Prop Bets

This week I am doing something a little different. I don’t have any underdogs that I would place my hard earned money on this week. In that case I will be giving you my best prop bets on that night.

Sara McMann by Decision -104 Sara McMann is a grinder when it comes to her fighting style. She will grind and wear out her opponent for three straight rounds. Not to mention 50% of her fights in her long career have been won by decision. I feel Mazany should be able to stay in this fight and not caught by a submission or knockout but should be outmatched the entire fight thus losing to McMann by unanimous decision.

Derrick Lewis vs Travis Browne over 1.5 rounds -110

Most people think there is going to be a first round knockout in this fight between these two knockout artists but that is far from the truth. Both Lewis and Browne have the power to knock anyone out at any given time but both fighters will be cautious of just going in there and throwing bombs. Lewis and Browne both made it well past 1.5 rounds in their most recent bouts. Lewis scored a 4th round knockout where Browne lost to Fabricio Werdum by unanimous decision. Take the over 1.5 rounds with confidence in this one.

Aiemann Zahabi Wins Inside Distance +157

Aiemann Zahabi is a straight finisher. He has finished all of his 6 opponents that were put in his path (3 submissions/3 knockouts). His opponent Reginaldo Vieira has a respectable record at 14-4 but each one of those 4 losses have been by either knockout or submission, also his most recent loss was by a submission. Zahabi is the better fighter no matter where the fight takes place. I see Zahabi disposing of Vieira way before the end of the 3rd round making this a great value play.

 

That is my time here at The MMA Takeover. Let’s make this fight night yet another profitable one. Sunday night sit back, relax and watch the money flow in. Always remember to wager responsibly, wager within your means and have good bankroll management. Also go on follow me on twitter @garrettkmma I will be doing live updates throughout the entire night as always. Have a great fight night!

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